- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (HRRR 8.1 m/s vs LEW 2.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 9.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.4°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Wetsuit required (16.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 7.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.2°C)