Hawkes Bay - Last Chance, Wind forecast

39.0065° S, 177.895° E
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (GFS27 12.9 m/s vs ICON Global 7.2 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
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