Canterbury - Motunau Island, Wind forecast

43.0538° S, 173.09° E
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 14.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.7 m/s) (ICON Global 12.9 m/s vs LEW 5.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
31.08.2026 (Monday)
  • High gust forecast (23.7 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
01.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 10.8 m/s vs ICON Global 5.6 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
02.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.2 m/s) (ECMWF 13.3 m/s vs LEW 6.2 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
03.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (ECMWF 11.8 m/s vs LEW 6.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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