Wellington - Rat Island: weather statistics and wind history

41.3477° S, 174.74° E
26.09.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
27.09.2026
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.5 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (22.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (3.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
28.09.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.6 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
29.09.2026
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 61% probability
30.09.2026
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
01.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 13.0 m/s, gusts 15.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
02.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 12.9 m/s, gusts 17.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
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