RESERVE BEACH: weather statistics and wind history

33.5711° S, 26.9833° E
09.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 28% probability
10.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 12.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Wetsuit required (14.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
11.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
12.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
13.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
14.10.2026
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Wetsuit required (16.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
15.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Wetsuit required (15.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
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