ST SEBASTIAN BAY: weather statistics and wind history

34.1874° S, 22.1532° E
24.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.2 m/s)
  • Low breeze chance — 48% probability
  • Wetsuit required (16.2°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
  • Low breeze chance — 39% probability
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Wetsuit required (16.2°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 13.5 m/s, gusts 18.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.5 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.4 m)
  • Wetsuit required (15.8°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (ECMWF 11.7 m/s vs ICON Global 4.8 m/s)
  • Low breeze chance — 35% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.4 m)
  • Wetsuit required (15.8°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 11.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Wetsuit required (16.0°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.7 m/s) (GFS27 12.7 m/s vs ICON Global 5.0 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (20.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Wetsuit required (15.8°C)
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