INNER KOM: weather statistics and wind history

34.1411° S, 18.3201° E
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.0 m/s, gusts 12.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 13.2 m/s, gusts 16.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.3 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • High gust forecast (20.1 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.9 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 12.2 m/s vs ICON Global 6.9 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (ECMWF 11.3 m/s vs ICON Global 4.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (GFS27 13.2 m/s vs ICON Global 7.4 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.2 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Caution – too long wave period for beginners (14.0 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (3.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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