THE WEDGE: weather statistics and wind history

34.0552° S, 23.3786° E
24.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.9 m/s)
  • Low breeze chance — 48% probability
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Wetsuit required (14.8°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.5 m/s)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Wetsuit required (14.8°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 12.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.3 m)
  • Wetsuit required (14.6°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
  • Low breeze chance — 28% probability
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.6 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.8 m/s) (GFS27 10.9 m/s vs ECMWF 4.0 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
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