TOMBSTONES: weather statistics and wind history

34.0444° S, 18.3139° E
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
17.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.8 m/s, gusts 15.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
18.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.7 m/s, gusts 14.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
19.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (ECMWF 11.3 m/s vs GFS27 5.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 51% probability
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