Arthur River - Church Bay: weather statistics and wind history

41.0526° S, 144.66° E
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (4.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (6.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (6.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (3.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 14.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 10.3 m/s vs ECMWF 5.3 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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