Sumner Beach, Christchurch Wind forecast

43.5637° S, 172.757° E
03.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 10.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
04.09.2026 (Friday)
  • High gust forecast (20.1 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (LEW 14.8 m/s vs ECMWF 9.6 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
05.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.6 m/s, gusts 12.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.0 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (LEW 8.1 m/s vs ICON Global 2.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 9.1 m/s vs ECMWF 2.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.7°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 33% probability
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