- Good kite forecast: wind 8.7 m/s, gusts 11.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.9 m/s, gusts 18.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.2 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (ECMWF 13.2 m/s vs ICON Global 7.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 6.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.4 m/s) (GFS27 10.9 m/s vs ECMWF 3.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)