- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 6.1 m/s vs ICON EU 0.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.5 m/s, gusts 14.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (30.2°C)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 10.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 71% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 90% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.5 m/s, gusts 12.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.1 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 10.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 9.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability