Flinders: weather statistics and wind history

38.4738° S, 145.017° E
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.9 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.6 m/s, gusts 13.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (ICON Global 8.2 m/s vs LEW 3.1 m/s)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.8 m/s)
  • Low breeze chance — 31% probability
  • Caution – too long wave period for beginners (15.2 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
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