Melinka: weather statistics and wind history

43.8369° S, 73.7909° W
20.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (4.6 m/s)
  • Caution – short wave period (7.9 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.5°C)
21.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 5.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.2°C)
22.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 6.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.9°C)
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 5.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Low breeze chance — 44% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.3°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 10.4 m/s vs ICON Global 4.9 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (1.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.2°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • High gust forecast (21.9 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 13.6 m/s vs ECMWF 8.0 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.6 m/s)
  • Caution – short wave period (6.9 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.1°C)
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