Thomas Point Shoal Light: weather statistics and wind history

38.9099° N, 76.4425° W
02.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (HRRR 9.2 m/s vs ICON Global 3.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
  • Caution – short wave period (1.6 s)
  • Low breeze chance — 35% probability
03.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.8 m/s) (HRRR 14.5 m/s vs ICON Global 4.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
04.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (HRDPS 9.4 m/s vs ICON Global 4.1 m/s)
  • Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.4 m/s)
  • Caution – short wave period (1.9 s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
05.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
  • Low breeze chance — 30% probability
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.8 m/s)
  • High breeze chance — 80% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 12.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
  • Caution – short wave period (2.0 s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
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