Dias: weather statistics and wind history

34.3548° S, 18.4821° E
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (ECMWF 14.7 m/s vs LEW 8.2 m/s)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Wetsuit required (14.4°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (ECMWF 15.8 m/s vs LEW 9.4 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.2 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.1 m)
  • Wetsuit required (14.2°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.7 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.2 m/s) (GFS27 10.9 m/s vs ICON Global 2.8 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.0 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.3°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 14.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Wetsuit required (14.4°C)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.5 m/s, gusts 11.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Low breeze chance — 36% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
  • Wetsuit required (14.4°C)
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