Patea River Mouth: weather statistics and wind history

39.7744° S, 174.491° E
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • High breeze chance — 80% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (ECMWF 13.1 m/s vs LEW 6.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.1 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.8 m/s) (ECMWF 13.6 m/s vs LEW 6.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.8 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 39% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.3 m/s, gusts 14.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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