Mahia Reef: weather statistics and wind history

39.0859° S, 177.866° E
05.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 36% probability
06.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.5 m/s, gusts 12.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
07.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
08.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
09.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
10.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
11.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.9 m/s, gusts 12.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
*Experimental

New feature: Breeze Index! See how likely a breeze is to form, right in the forecast. Available in weather alerts and the meteogram.

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