Tolaga Bay (surfing): weather statistics and wind history

38.3735° S, 178.31° E
31.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (16.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
01.11.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 9.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (16.0°C)
  • High breeze chance — 81% probability
02.11.2026
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (16.2°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 41% probability
03.11.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (16.2°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 38% probability
04.11.2026
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.0 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (16.4°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 51% probability
05.11.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 9.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (16.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
06.11.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (16.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
*Experimental

New feature: Breeze Index! See how likely a breeze is to form, right in the forecast. Available in weather alerts and the meteogram.

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