Blackhead: weather statistics and wind history

45.9285° S, 170.425° E
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 2.9 m/s, gusts 4.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.0°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
17.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
18.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
19.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (ECMWF 11.3 m/s vs ICON Global 5.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
20.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • High gust forecast (22.0 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.9 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
21.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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