Porridge: weather statistics and wind history

46.3353° S, 167.731° E
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.3 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (ICON Global 11.4 m/s vs LEW 4.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (ECMWF 12.0 m/s vs LEW 6.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (6.5 m)
  • Caution – too long wave period for beginners (14.4 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.6 m/s) (ECMWF 16.2 m/s vs LEW 8.6 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.8 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (7.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.8 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (6.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.0 m/s) (ICON Global 14.1 m/s vs LEW 5.1 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.5 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (5.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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