Waikanae Beach: weather statistics and wind history

40.8634° S, 175.02° E
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 13.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • High breeze chance — 75% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 9.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 69% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (LEW 12.2 m/s vs ICON Global 5.7 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
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