Wharariki Beach: weather statistics and wind history

40.4982° S, 172.66° E
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 10.9 m/s vs ICON Global 5.4 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 44% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 13.9 m/s, gusts 15.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 13.4 m/s, gusts 17.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.3 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (GFS27 13.1 m/s vs ICON Global 6.0 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
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