Ocean Grove (AU): weather statistics and wind history

38.2727° S, 144.527° E
04.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
05.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (GFS27 12.5 m/s vs ACCESS-C 6.5 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 13.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 36% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • High breeze chance — 81% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (GFS27 8.2 m/s vs ECMWF 2.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Wetsuit required (14.3°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 33% probability
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