- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (GFS27 8.5 m/s vs LEW 2.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.5 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.7 m/s, gusts 11.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 9.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 10.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability