New Melbourne (surfing): weather statistics and wind history

48.0476° N, 53.1513° W
09.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
10.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
11.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.4 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
12.10.2026
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
13.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
14.10.2026
  • High gust forecast (21.1 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
15.10.2026
  • High gust forecast (21.6 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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