Kerguelen (TF): weather statistics and wind history

49.2324° S, 69.1756° E
01.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 8.6 m/s vs ECMWF 3.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (2.2°C)
02.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (21.4 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (29.1 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 13.0 m/s) (GFS27 21.4 m/s vs ECMWF 8.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (2.1°C)
03.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (21.9 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (26.0 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 10.5 m/s) (GFS27 21.9 m/s vs ECMWF 11.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (2.1°C)
04.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (19.7 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (23.1 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 10.5 m/s) (GFS27 19.7 m/s vs ECMWF 9.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (2.1°C)
05.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (22.0 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (27.9 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 10.9 m/s) (GFS27 22.0 m/s vs ECMWF 11.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (2.0°C)
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (21.7 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (26.7 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 13.8 m/s) (GFS27 21.7 m/s vs ECMWF 7.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (2.0°C)
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.7 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 10.5 m/s) (GFS27 15.7 m/s vs ECMWF 5.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (2.0°C)
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