Cape jackson: weather statistics and wind history

41.0002° S, 174.318° E
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 12.5 m/s, gusts 14.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.1 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 59% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.6 m/s, gusts 14.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 4.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 71% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.0 m/s) (LEW 13.4 m/s vs ICON Global 5.5 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.6 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (20.0 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.9 m/s) (GFS27 16.6 m/s vs ICON Global 9.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
17.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.8 m/s) (ECMWF 13.7 m/s vs ICON Global 4.9 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
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