The brothers: weather statistics and wind history

41.1038° S, 174.428° E
17.09.2026
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
18.09.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
19.09.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 13.3 m/s, gusts 16.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
20.09.2026
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.3 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (20.3 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
21.09.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 10.4 m/s, gusts 12.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
22.09.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
23.09.2026
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.1 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
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