The brothers: Wetterstatistik und Windgeschichte

41.1038° S, 174.428° E
04.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (21.3 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (28.1 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (GFS27 21.3 m/s vs ICON Global 15.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
05.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 14.1 m/s, gusts 16.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.9 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (21.0 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (17.2 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.3 m/s) (GFS27 17.2 m/s vs ECMWF 10.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (GFS27 13.8 m/s vs ICON Global 7.2 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
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