to Guernsey: weather statistics and wind history

49.446° N, 2.36174° W
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.6 m/s, gusts 13.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (17.6 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (21.6 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 17.6 m/s vs ICON EU 12.5 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.9 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
31.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.9 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
01.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.0 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
02.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (ICON Global 10.7 m/s vs ICON EU 5.4 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
03.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 10.5 m/s, gusts 13.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.3 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
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