cape kidnappers : weather statistics and wind history

39.6726° S, 177.205° E
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.9 m/s, gusts 13.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 38% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.7 m/s, gusts 19.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.2 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (22.5 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.0 m/s) (GFS27 15.2 m/s vs ECMWF 7.2 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
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