Bahia de chamela: weather statistics and wind history

19.5586° N, 105.131° W
08.10.2026
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.0 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Caution – too long wave period for beginners (14 s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
09.10.2026
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.8 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
10.10.2026
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (8.8 m)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
11.10.2026
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • High gust forecast (21.7 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.3 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (6.9 m)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
12.10.2026
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
13.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
14.10.2026
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.4 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.4°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 42% probability
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