- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (GFS27 11.9 m/s vs LEW 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.5 m/s, gusts 15.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (ICON Global 12.6 m/s vs LEW 6.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability