Marion Island: weather statistics and wind history

46.8773° S, 37.8561° E
18.10.2026
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (18.3 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (23.8 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (5.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
19.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.4 m/s, gusts 13.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (5.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
20.10.2026
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (17.3 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (26.0 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (5.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
21.10.2026
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (17.2 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (25.8 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (5.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
22.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (5.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
23.10.2026
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (19.4 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (23.1 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (5.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
24.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 12.7 m/s, gusts 13.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (5.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
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