varadero : weather statistics and wind history

23.9705° N, 110.883° W
16.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 9.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
17.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
18.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 4.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.4°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 70% probability
19.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 5.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.3°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
20.10.2026
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.4°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability
21.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.1°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 29% probability
22.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
  • Caution – too long wave period for beginners (14 s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
*Experimental

New feature: Breeze Index! See how likely a breeze is to form, right in the forecast. Available in weather alerts and the meteogram.

How do you like it?

Closest meteostation (49.24km):

Nearby spots

Mexico top spots

Share your experience here