Cape palliser: weather statistics and wind history

41.5565° S, 175.278° E
03.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
04.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
05.10.2026
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
06.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 15.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
07.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.9 m/s, gusts 17.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
08.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
09.10.2026
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
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