Qaradag: weather statistics and wind history

40.2137° N, 49.5697° E
02.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
03.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
04.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
05.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (ICON EU 10.0 m/s vs ECMWF 4.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 71% probability
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
  • High breeze chance — 80% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (20.3 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (22.5 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 18.1 m/s) (GFS27 20.3 m/s vs ICON EU 2.2 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.0 m/s) (GFS27 12.0 m/s vs ICON Global 4.0 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
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