Paraparaumu: weather statistics and wind history

40.8931° S, 174.978° E
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 48% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (LEW 12.5 m/s vs ICON Global 5.9 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
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