Ketu Bay (sailing): weather statistics and wind history

40.9888° S, 173.999° E
23.10.2026
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (16.5°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 29% probability
24.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.0 m/s, gusts 14.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (15.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
25.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.0 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
26.10.2026
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.2 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (20.6 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
27.10.2026
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (19.6 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (28.9 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
28.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 14.4 m/s, gusts 17.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
29.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 13.0 m/s, gusts 19.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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