pohara: weather statistics and wind history

40.8321° S, 172.878° E
22.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (LEW 13.2 m/s vs ICON Global 8.0 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • High gust forecast (22.0 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (LEW 15.5 m/s vs ECMWF 10.3 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (4.7 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (LEW 9.4 m/s vs ECMWF 3.9 m/s)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 51% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (LEW 8.7 m/s vs ECMWF 3.7 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.1 m/s) (ICON Global 11.2 m/s vs ECMWF 3.2 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
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