- Wind too light – not suitable (1.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (GFS27 7.9 m/s vs ICON Global 1.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 6.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 61% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability