- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (GFS27 11.9 m/s vs ICON Global 6.9 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.3 m/s, gusts 14.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 12.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 84% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 49% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 77% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.7 m/s, gusts 13.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (13.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 12.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 65% probability