Waimarama reef: weather statistics and wind history

39.8223° S, 176.998° E
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (ICON Global 10.8 m/s vs GFS27 4.2 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 9.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
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