- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 10.8 m/s) (AROME 19.8 m/s vs LEW 9.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 13.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (ECMWF 11.8 m/s vs LEW 6.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 12.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 73% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 10.4 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 80% probability
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)