Flinders Pier: weather statistics and wind history

38.4756° S, 145.027° E
02.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.0 m/s, gusts 13.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
03.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.2 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.9 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
04.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.3 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.9 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
05.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.8 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (23.3 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (4.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (4.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (ECMWF 8.0 m/s vs LEW 2.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 49% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (GFS27 8.7 m/s vs ICON Global 1.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
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