- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (AROME 12.0 m/s vs ICON EU 6.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 10.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.5 m/s, gusts 15.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.0 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (ICON Global 8.5 m/s vs ICON EU 3.4 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 85% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 83% probability