- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (GFS27 12.3 m/s vs ICON Global 5.9 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.9 m/s, gusts 14.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 11.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.3 m/s, gusts 12.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.1 m/s, gusts 11.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability