- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (GFS27 8.6 m/s vs ICON Global 2.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.4 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.8 m/s, gusts 11.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.5 m/s, gusts 13.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (13.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 14.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.7 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.7 m/s, gusts 14.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability